It’s likely that you’ve heard of COVID-19 already. These days the world is watching closer than ever, often in real-time, the progression of emerging virus or bacteria strains. 2019-nCOV is the latest viral strain that has caused concern worldwide, due to its high rate of human-to-human spread. Equally concerning are the confirmed cases in other countries, and the presentation being almost identical to other flu-like illnesses.
Edit: This blog post was originally published on the 28th of January, 2019. We’re re-publishing it with some updated data.
Some updated links include:
2019-nCOV, or Novel Coronavirus, was identified in early January 2020 after a cluster of viral respiratory illness in the city of Wuhan, China. Chinese officials believe it may have originated from an animal reservoir, as many initially infected reportedly had some link to the Huanan Seafood Wholesale Market. This market has since been closed to carry out environmental disinfection. There are currently over 2700 confirmed cases in mainland China, with 50 confirmed cases outside of China in 13 different areas. There have reportedly been 82 deaths so far, with ages ranging from 55–87 years old, and all located within China at this time. (WHO, Situation Report 7, 27th Jan 2020). It is expected that these numbers will grow over the next few weeks.
It is part of a large and diverse family of viruses, the coronaviruses, which includes respiratory illness that can range from the common cold to Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS). For 2019-nCOV, the symptoms are mainly high fever and in some cases coughing, shortness of breath and showing invasive pneumonic infiltrates in chest radiographs. For more severe cases, the infection can lead to severe acute respiratory syndrome, kidney failure and death. The CDC believes symptom onset ranges from 2–14 days after exposure, based off viruses from the same family.
This makes it difficult to stop the importing of the new virus, as some travellers may not even present symptoms until many days after they have left China. The current flu season also adds complications to the screening of novel coronavirus, not to mention the added logistical challenges. According to the NZ Ministry of Health’s assessment, there is a recognised risk of importing the virus but a relatively low risk of having a sustained outbreak. There are currently 4 confirmed cases in Australia and none in New Zealand; although a group of tourists who had recently been to Wuhan are being monitored in Rotorua.
So far, the confirmed cases have all shown interaction with Wuhan within 14 days of symptom onset. (Update: On 29 January, The Independent reported that new cases in Japan and Germany were the result of transmission. Those affected had not travelled to China). As such, contact tracing remains the primary method for assessing the likelihood of 2019-nCOV as the root cause for respiratory infection.
The information and links in this post were correct at the time of posting.
For further information please refer to the following sources.
If you have any questions about coronavirus, or any other infection prevention and control issues, please contact us. Bug Control offer 20-minute consultations to help you and your facility stop infections in aged care.